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The next 20 years of fundamental physics.

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Substrate theory makes specific, falsifiable predictions across decoherence, particle physics, cosmology, and gravitation. Every prediction has a date, an experiment, and a clear criterion for what would refute it. This tracker watches the clock.

10

VALIDATED

20

UPCOMING TESTS

3

DECISIVE TESTS

2045

DECISION HORIZON

3

DECISIVE TESTS

Three decisive tests on the horizon

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Three predictions span the substrate framework's three principal sectors — decoherence, B-physics, and gravitation. Each is uniquely distinguishable from competing theories, each has a near-term experimental program, and any one decisive miss would force major revision of the framework.

Other upcoming tests

17 · Awaiting Data

Seventeen further substrate-theory predictions await data from running and next-generation experiments. Together with the three decisive tests above, they form a 20-pronged experimental program that will either confirm or refute the framework by ~2045.

Already confirmed

10 · Validated

Ten quantitative predictions that the substrate framework already matches against measured observations or derives as rigorous theorems. None of these was fit to the data it matches; each emerges from the eight postulates and four parameters before comparison with experiment.

About

One field, eight rules, four numbers.

Substrate theory is a candidate framework for all of fundamental physics — gravity, quantum mechanics, the Standard Model, and cosmology — built from a single underlying field with eight postulates and four free parameters. From this minimal axiomatic base it derives the rest: the equivalence principle, special and general relativity, the Born rule, Heisenberg uncertainty, the Schrödinger equation, charge quantization, the Standard Model gauge group, fermion masses, the inflation observables, the matter-antimatter asymmetry, dark energy, MOND, black hole entropy, and a cascade of new physics beyond what we know today.

Its experimental fingerprint clusters around three sectors: decoherence (thermal molecular interferometry with the substrate-unique τ ∝ 1/T² signature), B-physics (cascade Z bosons at Bessel-zero masses Z₁ at 2.95 TeV, Z₂ at 5.4 TeV, Z₃ at 7.83 TeV plus the Wilson coefficient ΔC₉ ≈ -0.93), and cosmology & gravitational waves (tensor-to-scalar r ≈ 0.003, f_NL ≈ 0.014, cascade GW background at ~1 mHz). The same four parameters fix every observable; if any one significant prediction is off, the whole structure is wrong.

By 2045 we will know — either substrate theory describes how the universe works, or we have learned what kind of framework can replace the Standard Model and general relativity.

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